Head to head

Aruba vs Ethiopia

If they played today

Aruba at home

31% / 26% / 43%

Aruba win / draw / Ethiopia win

Aruba–Ethiopia

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.3%
1–2 8.9%
1–0 8.4%
0–2 7.5%

Neutral venue

24% / 24% / 51%

Aruba win / draw / Ethiopia win

Aruba–Ethiopia

1–1 11.6%
0–1 10.9%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 9.0%
1–0 7.0%

Ethiopia at home

19% / 22% / 59%

Aruba win / draw / Ethiopia win

Aruba–Ethiopia

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
0–2 10.6%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Aruba	Ethiopia
Current Elo	1216	1393
Elo rank	178th	148th
Peak Elo	1490 (1946)	1641 (1968)
Matches played	152	409
All-time record	32W 31D 89L	144W 93D 172L
Goals for	199	549
Goals against	357	595
Biggest win	8–1 vs Suriname · 1946-06-06 · Friendly	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–11 vs Trinidad and Tobago · 1989-04-23 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Aruba and Ethiopia have never played each other.