Head to head

Armenia vs Tonga

If they played today

Armenia at home

74% / 17% / 9%

Armenia win / draw / Tonga win

Armenia–Tonga

2–0 13.9%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.6%
2–1 9.0%
1–1 7.9%

Neutral venue

67% / 20% / 13%

Armenia win / draw / Tonga win

Armenia–Tonga

2–0 12.4%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.3%
3–0 8.6%

Tonga at home

60% / 22% / 18%

Armenia win / draw / Tonga win

Armenia–Tonga

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.8%
1–1 10.5%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Armenia	Tonga
Current Elo	1445	1056
Elo rank	132nd	198th
Peak Elo	1636 (2021)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	272	68
All-time record	65W 57D 150L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	274	81
Goals against	499	253
Biggest win	7–1 vs Guatemala · 2016-05-28 · Friendly	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–9 vs Norway · 2022-03-29 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Armenia and Tonga have never played each other.