Head to head

Armenia vs Samoa

If they played today

Armenia at home

63% / 21% / 16%

Armenia win / draw / Samoa win

Armenia–Samoa

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.4%
1–1 10.1%
2–1 9.8%
3–0 7.5%

Neutral venue

55% / 23% / 21%

Armenia win / draw / Samoa win

Armenia–Samoa

1–0 11.2%
1–1 11.1%
2–0 9.9%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Samoa at home

47% / 25% / 28%

Armenia win / draw / Samoa win

Armenia–Samoa

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.3%
0–1 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Armenia	Samoa
Current Elo	1445	1216
Elo rank	132nd	179th
Peak Elo	1636 (2021)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	272	71
All-time record	65W 57D 150L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	274	99
Goals against	499	249
Biggest win	7–1 vs Guatemala · 2016-05-28 · Friendly	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–9 vs Norway · 2022-03-29 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Armenia and Samoa have never played each other.