Head to head

Armenia vs Ethiopia

If they played today

Armenia at home

49% / 25% / 26%

Armenia win / draw / Ethiopia win

Armenia–Ethiopia

1–1 11.8%
1–0 10.8%
2–1 9.5%
2–0 8.6%
0–1 7.4%

Neutral venue

41% / 26% / 33%

Armenia win / draw / Ethiopia win

Armenia–Ethiopia

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.1%
0–1 8.8%
2–1 8.7%
1–2 7.6%

Ethiopia at home

33% / 26% / 41%

Armenia win / draw / Ethiopia win

Armenia–Ethiopia

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.0%
1–0 8.9%
1–2 8.7%
2–1 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Armenia	Ethiopia
Current Elo	1445	1393
Elo rank	132nd	148th
Peak Elo	1636 (2021)	1641 (1968)
Matches played	272	409
All-time record	65W 57D 150L	144W 93D 172L
Goals for	274	549
Goals against	499	595
Biggest win	7–1 vs Guatemala · 2016-05-28 · Friendly	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–9 vs Norway · 2022-03-29 · Friendly	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Armenia and Ethiopia have never played each other.