Head to head

Argentina vs Ethiopia

If they played today

Argentina at home

95% / 4% / 0%

Argentina win / draw / Ethiopia win

Argentina–Ethiopia

3–0 21.2%
2–0 19.7%
4–0 17.0%
1–0 12.3%
5–0 10.9%

Neutral venue

93% / 6% / 1%

Argentina win / draw / Ethiopia win

Argentina–Ethiopia

3–0 19.1%
2–0 19.1%
4–0 14.4%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 8.7%

Ethiopia at home

89% / 9% / 2%

Argentina win / draw / Ethiopia win

Argentina–Ethiopia

2–0 17.8%
3–0 16.7%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 11.7%
5–0 6.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Argentina	Ethiopia
Current Elo	2250	1393
Elo rank	2nd	148th
Peak Elo	2279 (2026)	1641 (1968)
Matches played	1077	409
All-time record	599W 257D 221L	144W 93D 172L
Goals for	2047	549
Goals against	1083	595
Biggest win	12–0 vs Ecuador · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–6 vs Spain · 2018-03-27 · Friendly	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
World Cups won	3	0
Expected World Cups	1.79	0.00

When they've met

Argentina and Ethiopia have never played each other.