Head to head

American Samoa vs Tonga

If they played today

American Samoa at home

34% / 26% / 39%

American Samoa win / draw / Tonga win

American Samoa–Tonga

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.9%
1–0 9.1%
1–2 8.5%
2–1 7.8%

Neutral venue

27% / 25% / 47%

American Samoa win / draw / Tonga win

American Samoa–Tonga

1–1 12.0%
0–1 10.6%
1–2 9.4%
0–2 8.3%
1–0 7.6%

Tonga at home

21% / 23% / 56%

American Samoa win / draw / Tonga win

American Samoa–Tonga

0–1 11.2%
1–1 11.1%
0–2 9.9%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	American Samoa	Tonga
Current Elo	924	1056
Elo rank	210th	198th
Peak Elo	1492 (1983)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	55	68
All-time record	4W 2D 49L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	33	81
Goals against	357	253
Biggest win	3–0 vs Wallis Islands and Futuna · 1983-08-22 · South Pacific Games	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–31 vs Australia · 2001-04-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Meetings

American Samoa 2W 0D 8L

Goals

12–34

American Samoa first

First meeting

2–3

Tonga won · 1983-08-24 · South Pacific Games

Most recent

2–6

Tonga won · 2023-11-30 · Pacific Games

American Samoa's biggest win

2–1

2015-09-02 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Tonga's biggest win

7–2

2002-03-12 · Oceania Nations Cup qualification

Most common result

2–1

American Samoa first · twice, last 2015-09-02

Current run

Won the last meeting

Tonga · since 2023-11-30

10 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2023-11-30	2–6	Neutral	Pacific Games
2015-09-02	2–1	Tonga home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2011-11-22	2–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
2007-09-01	0–4	Neutral	South Pacific Games
2002-03-12	2–7	Neutral	Oceania Nations Cup qualification
2001-04-14	0–5	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
2000-06-14	1–2	Neutral	Oceania Nations Cup qualification
1998-09-02	0–3	Neutral	Oceania Nations Cup qualification
1994-11-28	1–2	Neutral	Oceania Nations Cup qualification
1983-08-24	2–3	Neutral	South Pacific Games