Head to head

American Samoa vs Bulgaria

If they played today

American Samoa at home

8% / 16% / 76%

American Samoa win / draw / Bulgaria win

American Samoa–Bulgaria

0–2 14.3%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.2%
1–2 8.7%
1–1 7.5%

Neutral venue

5% / 13% / 82%

American Samoa win / draw / Bulgaria win

American Samoa–Bulgaria

0–2 15.8%
0–3 13.4%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 8.5%
1–2 7.5%

Bulgaria at home

3% / 10% / 87%

American Samoa win / draw / Bulgaria win

American Samoa–Bulgaria

0–2 17.2%
0–3 15.7%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 10.7%
1–2 5.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	American Samoa	Bulgaria
Current Elo	924	1542
Elo rank	210th	96th
Peak Elo	1492 (1983)	1861 (1995)
Matches played	55	736
All-time record	4W 2D 49L	262W 188D 286L
Goals for	33	1016
Goals against	357	1105
Biggest win	3–0 vs Wallis Islands and Futuna · 1983-08-22 · South Pacific Games	10–2 vs Solomon Islands · 2026-03-27 · FIFA Series
Biggest loss	0–31 vs Australia · 2001-04-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–13 vs Spain · 1933-05-21 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.15

When they've met

American Samoa and Bulgaria have never played each other.