Head to head

Albania vs Ethiopia

If they played today

Albania at home

67% / 20% / 13%

Albania win / draw / Ethiopia win

Albania–Ethiopia

2–0 12.3%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.4%
3–0 8.5%

Neutral venue

60% / 22% / 18%

Albania win / draw / Ethiopia win

Albania–Ethiopia

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.7%
1–1 10.6%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.7%

Ethiopia at home

52% / 24% / 24%

Albania win / draw / Ethiopia win

Albania–Ethiopia

1–1 11.6%
1–0 11.0%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 9.1%
0–1 6.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Albania	Ethiopia
Current Elo	1676	1393
Elo rank	71st	148th
Peak Elo	1736 (2025)	1641 (1968)
Matches played	398	409
All-time record	110W 84D 204L	144W 93D 172L
Goals for	377	549
Goals against	589	595
Biggest win	6–1 vs Cyprus · 2009-08-12 · Friendly	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Hungary · 1950-09-24 · Friendly	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Albania and Ethiopia have never played each other.