Head to head

Afghanistan vs Ethiopia

If they played today

Afghanistan at home

28% / 25% / 47%

Afghanistan win / draw / Ethiopia win

Afghanistan–Ethiopia

1–1 12.0%
0–1 10.6%
1–2 9.3%
0–2 8.1%
1–0 7.8%

Neutral venue

22% / 24% / 55%

Afghanistan win / draw / Ethiopia win

Afghanistan–Ethiopia

1–1 11.2%
0–1 11.2%
1–2 9.8%
0–2 9.7%
1–0 6.5%

Ethiopia at home

16% / 21% / 62%

Afghanistan win / draw / Ethiopia win

Afghanistan–Ethiopia

0–1 11.6%
0–2 11.3%
1–1 10.2%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 7.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Afghanistan	Ethiopia
Current Elo	1173	1393
Elo rank	184th	148th
Peak Elo	1481 (1941)	1641 (1968)
Matches played	147	409
All-time record	36W 34D 77L	144W 93D 172L
Goals for	142	549
Goals against	293	595
Biggest win	8–1 vs Bhutan · 2011-12-07 · SAFF Cup	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–11 vs Turkmenistan · 2003-11-19 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Afghanistan and Ethiopia have never played each other.